Monday, 8 May 2023

National League Bye Lays

There were a couple of dramatic National League games yesterday, and hopefully some of you took notice of my observations regarding the value in opposing the rested team coming off a bye. 


Both matches were winners today with both Notts County and Chesterfield giving their opponents a head start and failing to win in 90 minutes despite starting as odds-on favourites.

Ultimately both advanced after extra-time and noteworthy that Notts County were the shortest price ever ("ever" being since 2003) in any play-off game at 1.23. 
After 28 matches, the ROI on this strategy is now up to 49%, +13.62 units and in matches where the rested side is odds-on, the ROI is 95%, +15.16 units from 16 matches.

Four more such games in the National League Regional divisions still to come, but I'm away for the rest of the week on another work trip, so updates on these will be delayed. 

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