Monday, 1 January 2001

Lay Last Loser

The Lay Last Loser System is used in the top five English Football Leagues, and lays the last team to lose in each division until they win again. The idea was found on a post on the Betfair Forum and suggested excluding the Premier League and laying teams in their next two games. I have modified this to include the English Premier League and to keep laying teams until they win again.

The reasoning appears to be that once a team loses, the market rates them higher than the team might rate themselves! Confidence is powerful, and a loss can quickly make a serious dent in it.

The system is complete for the 2015-16 season, with the final summary as below:

The 2016-17 season saw this system take a small loss:

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