Sunday, 18 April 2010

A Bit Of A Scare

A mixed day for Football Elite with the Recommended Bets winning with Sampdoria at 2.9 beating AC Milan but Parma losing 2-3 to Genoa.

The one short-list bet was Bari who went down 1-2 at home to Napoli.

The Sports Betting Professor's nightmare start to the MLB season continued yesterday with an 0-3 record. Overall he is now 14-27 for a loss of 1359.13 on the season to a level 100 points stake using the US Sportsbook prices with no commission as correctly pointed out by a sensible Anonymous comment.

In the NBA he had one winner, and one loser. The Celtics easily covered the 4.5 point spread but in the earlier Cavaliers v Bulls game, the tip was the Bulls +11.5.

The Cavs won by 13, so this was a loss, but on reading the update today, the clear impression is that the bet was a winner.

"Well the Bulls gave me a bit of a scare, always hate to lose and NBA game by a basket or less especially when it's a B bet."
I'm not sure about anyone else, but my interpretation of "gave me a bit of a scare" is that after looking bad for a while, ultimately everything worked out ok. Maybe it's just me, but I found that wording a little, shall we say, disingenuous.

The Lakers v Thunder game is coming to an end as I write this, and with the Thunder staying close to the end, there were several trading opportunities. The Lakers always seem to hit 1.0x too early, and yo-yoing between say 1.04 and 1.09 for decent amounts is a relatively low risk strategy. The handicap was Lakers -8.5 and the game ends with the Lakers winning by 8 after the Thunder traded as high as 5.9 on Betfair.

Sadly, no Mr Lumpy on the Dodgers v Giants game tonight.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Hi, first time I've posted a comment, enjoy reading your blog most evenings and like your general aproach. Think you may have a little bit of an obsession with SBP though, as a follower of both SBP and Football Elite I can tell you backing SBP's NBA system to level stakes - not a fan of chase systems- I've made considerably more from SBP than FE. With regards to the MLB, it's early days and whilst it's on a wretched run it's actually only -13 pts which given some of the recent results and the fact that majority of these bets are on the underdog, it's hardly as bad as you are trying to make out with your 100pt per bet... Having said all that I'm only tracking the MLB at the moment as have a system of my own that performs well for the early parts of the season. Just think you should continue to look at it with an open mind as SBP is a good earner. NBA systems last 20 or so results were sitting at just 44% but up to then the season was around 70% on straight bets. Maybe you got in at wrong time and are not seeing the bigger picture.