Monday 28 May 2012

XX Draws

As promised, here is a full review of the XX Draws from the 2011-12 season, as well as plans for the 2012-13 season.

In summary, the XX Draws finished the 2011-12 season with a record of:
When backing the Under 2.5 goal option in these matches, the record was:
Towards the end of 2011-12, I started to include additional selections – those which fell just outside of the ‘Classic’ XX Draw parameters, but selections whose results were nevertheless profitable. These became known as the 'Extended' selections, and over the 53 selections where prices were tracked, these generated an additional 2.65 points and 7.2 points on the Draw and Unders respectively. 

A total of 57.98 points in total for the ‘XX family’, from 209 matches for a combined ROI of 13.6%.

The inclusion of the Extended draws has been well received by subscribers. While the ROI may be a little lower than for the Classic selections, “ROI is for show, ROBG is for dough” – ROBG being Rate Of bank Growth, and nothing grows a bank more than plenty of value priced winners, and over three season, the Extended selections outnumber the Classic selections by 709 to 361.

Below are the results of the Extended selections over three seasons. Note that the estimated profit is based on the assumption that the average draw price for the ‘Extended’ selections is the same as that for the ‘Classic’ selections. Logically, since these matches ‘should’ be considered less likely to result in draws, the estimates may be on the low side. 

2012-13 should see around 156 Classic selections again, and perhaps 230 or so Extended selections. With the Under 2.5 goals option, that's close to 1,000 investments, all for a very reasonable, and competitive, £99 if you act fast, and includes a rare, and perhaps unique, refund policy if the results are not profitable, or you wish to cancel for any reason. Last season, one subscriber dropped out in mid-season, and I am fine with that. When you are backing draws, the Longest Losing Sequences (LLS) can get uncomfortable, although the LLS on the Under 2.5 goals is an amazingly low 4. 

Anyway, full details are in the 'prospectus' available at http://www.docstoc.com/docs/121590717/XX-Draw-Selections-Prospectus-2013 or I can e-mail to you upon request. I can also provide a full list of the results from 2011-12 upon request.

3 comments:

BigAl said...

It makes me chuckle that someone who has spent a not insignificant amount of time picking holes in the systems / tipping services of others, is marketing his own subscription service using........

ESTIMATED ROI AND ASSUMED PRICES!!

fairfranco said...

an excellent set of results.

Just wondering, while your draw's coming in maybe more satisfying and was the initial push behind your selections the under 2.5 goals clearly made a lot more money (LSP) last season.

With the higher strike rate and much lower LLS and overall season profit surely unless the correlation between the 2 changes then the ROBG will be much higher on the Unders than on the draw.

Does this not make backing the Draw pretty redundant?

Harry Haller said...

Hi. I'll be interested in these selections for the next season. How are payments made and when?