Sunday, 7 October 2012

Flowery Theory

Harris went to an awful lot of trouble to send me the following analysis, and it seems a shame not to share it. [I have taken the liberty of making some corrections where the meaning is obvious, as English is clearly a second (or perhaps third would be more appropriate) language].
My name is Iosifidis Charalambos or more easy for you Harris. I am from Greece. I am 25 years old and I love football and betting also.
At the age of 11, I moved to Cyprus for 8 years. I started betting at the age of 13 on football and like my father I was losing. But in Cyprus I met a Greek friend that was crazy for bets and football like me. This man was fascinated by Greek mathematician Pythagoras he showed me a different method of betting. This kind of betting method is something like you are hunting history repeats! So I want to share it with you and my story also.
Pythagoras believed in the number 3 he told one day to his students that number 3 shows the past the present and the future. So Paulo the Greek friend thought what will happen if we take the multiples of 3 ? Let me show you the power of multiples of 3.
3-6-9-12-15-18-21-24-27-30-33-36-39-42-45-48-51................
MULTIPLES OF 3 SHOWED ME IN 2010 THAT HOLLAND WILL GO TO FINAL 3RD TIME AND 3RD TIME WILL LOSE THE FINAL.
IN 2010 ALSO MULTIPLES OF 3 SHOWED ME THAT INTER FC WILL WIN THE CHAMPIONS LEAGUE.
AT FIRST I ANALYSED ALL TEAMS THAT WAS IN COMPETITION THE ONLY TEAM THAT SHOWED ME MULTIPLES OF 3 WAS INTER FC AND I HAD BET IT FROM THE BEGINNING. HOW DID I FIND IT.
INTER FC HAD WON THE CHAMPIONS LEAGUE IN 1965 SO IN 2010 BEFORE CHAMPIONS LEAGUE EVEN STARTED I CALCULATE 2010-1965=45 YEARS BEFORE SO IF YOU TAKE THE MULTIPLES 3-6-9....36-39-42-45. 45 IS MULTIPLES OF 3.
NOW LET'S GO TO 2012 CHAMPIONS LEAGUE WINNERS CHELSEA BEFORE THE FINAL I CALCULATED THE PAST YEARS. MULTIPLES SHOWS ME THAT CHELSEA WILL WIN.
HERE IS THE REASON
1974 Bayern Munich – Atletico Madrid 4-0
1975 Bayern Munich -Leeds 2-0
1976 Bayern Munich –St. Etienne 1-0
.
1982 Aston Villa – Bayern Munich 1-0
1987 Porto – Bayern Munich 2-1
1999 Manchester United – Bayern Munich 2-1
.
2001 Bayern Munich – Valencia 1-1*
2010 Inter – Bayern Munich 2-0
2012 Bayern Munich – Chelsea ….. ?
LIKE YOU SEE BAYERN PLAYED 8 FINALS AND HAVE WON ONLY THE 3 OF THEM AND HAVE LOST 5 FINALS SO THE NUMBER THAT IS TIME TO MOVE IS 5 LOST FINALS TO BECOME 6 AND MULTIPLE OF 3.
ALSO BAYERN HAD PLAYED 3 FINALS WITH ENGLISH TEAMS AND HAD WON ONLY 1 FINAL AND HAD LOST 2 FINALS WITH ENGLISH TEAMS SO THE NUMBER THAT WAS TIME TO MOVE WAS 2 LOST FINALS WITH ENGLISH TEAMS TO BECOME 3RD LOST FINAL WITH CHELSEA.
ALSO WHEN IN 2012 CHELSEA-BARCELONA MET I ALSO CALCULATED THE HOME SCORE 1-0 AND THE AWAY SCORE OF CHELSEA AT BARCELONA 2-2.HERE IS THE REASON
IF YOU LOOK AT THE HISTORY HEAD TO HEAD YOU WOULD SEE THAT IN 2006 CHELSEA WON BARCELONA 1-0 AND AT SPAIN BARCELONA DREW WITH CHELSEA 2-2 ALL THIS IN 2006 SO IF YOU MAKE 2012-2006=6 YEARS BEFORE 6 IS A MULTIPLE OF 3.
I HAVE A LOT OF EXAMPLES THAT I CAN WRITE A WINNING BOOK FOR BETTORS WITH MY METHOD.(Euro 2012 I won all correct score results)
Now multiples of 3 like you see in big football events like Champions League, Europa League,Euro,World Cup works perfect but in leagues like Spain / Italy / France I started to make a record of multiples of 3 and after that I sent it to a friend that has a very good algorithm that wins 99% he advised me that multiples of 3 in plain leagues that they don't lose but also they don't win a lot.
So he told me to add filters he told me to add Poisson+Elo rating system+neural netword+Kelly critirion + my multiples of 3. The results are amazing when all this different methods says a game home win then I have the unbeatable game for example last game Aston Villa played at home with Swansea Elo rating system predicted home win neural network predicted home win Kelly criterion predicted home win Poisson predicted home win and mine multiple of 3 predicted home win and the result was home win for Aston Villa ft.
Now my point in all this is because I am new in keeping records and I am new in all this different methods Elo,neural, Kelly, Poisson that I take from websites and maybe some websites tomorrow or in future will close and I want to have my own systems.
I really want some help for example how i am going to make my own Elo rating system and how I am going to make my own Poisson system.
Also I am a florist in my job so I don't know a lot of things from mathematics :)
I would be very thankful if you could help me send me for example a guide step by step or an Excel form with instructions so I can make Elo rating system and Poisson system. I don't have any idea were to start from because I just have started here and 5 months using Excel and more Open Office so please if you can help me I would be very thankful.
I am wishing you all the best thx for your time.
I can only suggest that Harris check out my series over at Betting Expert which gives an introduction to Elo ratings and Poisson.

Soon after that, I was looking at an upcoming trading conference, and came across this four hour session for just US$245.

In this four-hour intensive, Carolyn Boroden will show you how she uses Fibonacci ratios on both the time and price axis to pick the best stock/ETF candidates on the long side or the short. She will discuss her three primary trading set-ups, which are outlined in her book, Fibonacci Trading. These trade set-ups can be used for outright stock/ETF trading/selecting but also work beautifully with options strategies. She will illustrate how the markets can be set-up for swing trades and also how this same methodology can be used for daytraders. The work in this intensive will focus on actually setting up, in real-time, current market set-ups.
Well, I've certainly noticed that the number three shows up a lot in baseball. Three bases, other than home base, three times three players per team. Three teams per match, including the umpires. Three outs per innings. Three times three for nine innings per game. Three strikes you're out. And yesterdays AL Divisional Series games saw the winner score three times as many runs as the losing team! There could be something in this. Both of today's games start on an hour that is a multiple of 3 - the AL game at 12pm EDT, the NL game at 3pm EDT. Coincidence? I think not.

I wasn't quite so aware of the number's significance in football, but Harris may have stumbled on something. Look at yesterday. Manchester City 3-0 over Sunderland. Other EPL teams scoring three were Arsenal and West Bromwich Albion, who some of you may notice have THREE words in their name. Coincidence? I think not.

The first five EPL games all went Over 2.5 goals, so the final one (West Ham United - three words in their name again - Ars-en-al - three syllables - get the idea?) doing the same was obvious. Why Peter was wasting his time earlier in the week doing boring old 'analysis' to identify the same thing beats me. Get with the program Peter. Just wait until 5 o'clock and see what's due.

Outside of the EPL and Burnley scored three, but it wasn't enough because they were playing at Sel-Hurst-Park (three syllables). In the Championship, which starts with the third letter of the alphabet. Coincidence? Well, you know what I don't think.

And interesting that the champions of Europe, and FA Cup holders, are Chelsea, whose name begins with that 3rd letter of the alphabet - 'C'. League Champions - City...  And the League Cup was won by Liverpool - L is letter 12 (multiple of 3 anyone?) of the alphabet, and who did they beat? Cardiff City - not just one three there but two. (No wonder Palace lost in that semi-final!).

I could go on, and many of you may be thinking I already have, and for far too long, so I shall call it a post.

4 comments:

sportsbettingbloggers said...

Brilliant post Cassini. I have to admit, I got a little way into the submitted piece before giving up, but had to see what you had to say, Summed up beautifully.

May I just mention the first initial of your name.....?

upandathem said...

Hi Cass.
Don't think you should have posted this,if the significance of the number 3 becomes common knowledge is there not a great danger that bookmakers will cease to exist?

AL said...

this is the 3rd comment. liverpool will keep on giving.

Tony said...

Holy grail