Saturday, 25 July 2020

Early Season Baseball / Late Season Football

It's been a strong start to the 2020 season for followers of my MLB systems, with the Opening Day System (results updated) resulting in all three selections winning on the Money Line, and two on the Run Line, while the Hot Favourites System is off to a 5-0 start with all five also winners on the Run Line. Five more selections today, but no T-Bone qualifiers yet.

The Over / Under systems have only had one selection so far, which was a perfect winner for Unders finishing with one run scored.

Not such a good day for opposing Home favourites in the National League play-off semi-finals with four of the six home teams winning. 

We have more play-offs tomorrow and in the 17 years of Championship play-offs for which I have data, i.e. since 2004, only six times has the Away team been favourite in the first leg of the semi-final. A little surprising perhaps, given that the Away team is always the team that finished higher in the league, but there are, of course, many other factors to consider.
Whether the lack of a crowd this years has made a difference or whether it is just that Brentford and Fulham finished 11 and 8 points respectively ahead of their South Wales opponents, the fact is that both Away teams are favourites tomorrow, with Brentford the hottest Away favourite in any Football League play-off game.

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