Saturday, 6 March 2010

Elo Predictions: 6.March.10

There are a few teams playing today that look to represent excellent value in comparison to their predicted win margin. A little more research is needed, especially in the lower leagues, but here we go:

In the Championship, I like the look of Blackpool at 2.34, Bristol City at 2.22, Cardiff City at 2.36 and Nottingham Forest at 2.12, all predicted to win their home games by one.

In League One the value bet is Swindon Town at 1.77 v Bristol Rovers.

In League Two, Aldershot Town at 2.1, Port Vale at 2.66 and Rotherham United at 2.12 look good value and all are expected to win by one.

The Conference National throws up Barrow at 2.34, Kidderminster at 2.2 (away to Eastbourne Borough), York City at 2.14 (away to Forest Green Rovers), Luton Town at 2.12 (away to Hayes and Yeading), Histon at 2.16, Kettering Town at 1.34 and Stevenage at 1.55.

Queen's Park 2.48 v Berwick Rangers in Scotland, and across the sea, the top picks are:

Bundesliga: SC Freiburg 2.46 v Hannover 96
La Liga: Deportivo La Coruna 1.75 v Tenerife
La Ligue: Nice 2.26 v Nancy
Serie A: Fiorentina 2.6 v Juventus and AS Roma 2.5 v AC Milan

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