Saturday, 27 February 2010

The Accidental Winner

You know it's your lucky day when you expect a team to win by two, cover the Any Unquoted, and your selection loses 2-4!

Not the way I like to win my bets, but I'll take it. At least it proved my point in my earlier post that backing teams such as Chelsea to win at home at short prices isn't a long-term winning strategy.

Alex asked:

"With regards to hitting 43% of 2 goal margins, does this include the times when AU comes into play without it being the exact margin?"
- No, the 43% figure is those games that resulted in an exact margin of 2 goals. Including the AUs, the percentage becomes 55%, but that includes today's shameful 'win'.

The Anonymous suggestion that "What you should do is post up all your past forecasts, the odds available, the results and your net winnings. That would show that your selections are showing value" is a non-starter. I have over 1200 matches in my spreadsheet, and while that may not be enormously large from a statistical anaysis perspective, it's enormously large from a time consuming point of view!

I don't even have time to publish all of the ratings for a busy Saturday - far too busy putting the bets on and making money!


Sports Betting tips said...

nice post,, thanks for the information, I want to learn more about how to win the bet..

Anonymous said...

good morning from a sunny-all-over Greece,what the world's best system says for Serie A today?
don't bother consume time and posts for stupid,ignorant kids and focus on your faithful readers...

Anonymous said...

If you are so busy making money then why not download your betfair statement, which takes seconds and post it up for all to see how you put your money where your mouth is.

Cassini said...