Friday, 5 February 2010

Elo Selections 5.Feb - 7.Feb

This weekend’s Elo ratings at the top of the English pyramid have Manchester United to win by 3 over Portsmouth, but at 1.14 this is a play on the Correct Score market. 3-0 or Any Unquoted.

To win by two are Chelsea at 1.87 and Nottingham Forest at 1.63.

Winners at home by one should be Burnley (2.68), Liverpool (1.9), Stoke City (2.4), Sunderland (2.14), Tottenham Hotspur (2.22), Birmingham City (1.87), Swansea (1.95), Barnsley (2.15), Blackpool (2.32), Bristol City (2.01) and Sheffield United (1.85).

Winners away by one: Manchester City (1.78) and West Bromwich Albion (1.87).

The other games at Newcastle United, Bolton Wanderers, Ipswich Town, Peterborough United, Scunthorpe United and Doncaster Rovers are predicted to be draws.

It’s interesting that the one goal selections range in price from 1.78 to 2.68. My numbers suggest that the Manchester City price is on the short side, but all the others are value. Chelsea at 1.87 are also excellent value to win.

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