Friday, 11 June 2010

Elo At The World Cup

The World Cup starts today, and the Elo ratings have Brazil just 2 points ahead of Spain, followed by Netherlands, England, Germany, Italy, Argentina and Mexico.

Although I am obviously biased towards England and Italy, (50.0 to meet in the Final) the ratings suggest the Netherlands at 10.0 offer the best value.

Should Argentina be third favourites? Not according to the ratings.

I'll be playing with these during the group stages for small stakes, using the Asian Handicap markets which appear to have good liquidity.

And if you're thinking of a punt on Algeria, New Zealand or North Korea, save your money. They make up the final three ratings.

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